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CNBC
Jan 25, 2013 4:00am EST
economy in the fourth quarter. those figures will be out in just under 30 minutes. >>> the governors of the banks of italy -- trade in siena. and imf's christine legarde tells us that central bank stimulus is still needed. >> we have the central bank on the one hand which have done quite a lot, which have been the fireman, in a way. and you have the policymakers on the other hand particularly in the eurozone who have made some progress and need to keep the momentum. >> now, any minute now, we're expecting the results from germany's ifo institute. january business climate index survey is expected to rise to a reading of 103 from 102.4 in december. this, of course, follows an increase in expectations in the dew survey earlier this week. we've seen an increase in the pmi surveys for germany over the last couple of months. as the german economy particularly looking to climb out of its contraction in the fourth quarter, we're waiting on the ifo senior va to tell us whether sentiment broadly speaking is picking up in line with that development. now here we're getting the survey. it would thou
CNBC
Jan 22, 2013 7:00pm EST
numbers. stock up after hours trading. that tells me that the economy is doing better. what is your take? >> i think the economy is more mixed. it seems to me, google hot today and obviously a great tech story and also an advertising tostory. friday, general electric. kind of told us that world economic expectations might be better. is the world better? >> i think it is possible that the eearnings are going to be better. if you look at the bottom of estimates, they were $114 for the s&p -- i'm sorry $120 they are coming down. we suspect they are going to continue to come down. we suspect the corporate earnings are going to come down. i want to add economic stuff to this. today, existing home sales 12.8% above a year ago. existing home sale prices plus 11%. that is progress it was falling at 4%. last week, manufacturing up, capitol goods up. are he ewe estimating the econo? >> clients are asking me about upside risk. nobody is asking about upside risk. i think the question is, is it in the price already. >> all related to the housing ready. for, the fed is easy. we all know the fed is eas
CNBC
Jan 23, 2013 7:00pm EST
revolution, aring if to help us this year on the economy. let's bring in our ace investors, david goldman, former head of income grout at bank of america and michael farr, author of "restoring our american dream, the best investment. abigail doolittle, the investors killed it after hours. >> i think what's going on is an important inflexion point. we had another earnings miss, another guide down. this once superstar amongst the text stock has been falling for a few months. i think traders answered vestors were waiting for this report to see what the future with look like. unfortunately it's not as bright as some might have hoped for and that's now showing up in the stock. >> is there an offset here? google did very well today and revenue was very good. apple versus google consideration apple stop this rally? i don't think so but i want to get your take on this. what does it mean apple is doing badly? is it an apple thing, an economy thing or consumer thing or what? >> i think that's a great question. i think right now i tend to agree with you. i think investors will see this as an apple-r
CNBC
Jan 25, 2013 3:00pm EST
driven economy to consumption. so you're probably not going to see double digit growth but i think 8% is in the cards. >> is the u.s. still the best place? >> yes. >> to invest, guys? >> mandy, what is frightening here is that we all agree that some of the best opportunities are overseas. perhaps those markets need to play catch up here. i would also add that commodities have been an area left in the dust. if the fed is very successful, igniting inflation, which may be in the cards in the future commodities would be a place to hedge someone's portfolio as they get out of bonds into equities right now. very quickly we're noting today apple is, let me put it this way. exxon is close to overtaking apple as the most valuable stock in the world. significant at all? are you guys watching that at all? >> we are watching it. it is old schools coming back to modern day trading markets that are here. we've all watched apple. we've seen the run in apple. everyone is very familiar with the stock and the products. it just got to prices that were way too lofty for retail investors and when we start ge
CNBC
Jan 29, 2013 4:00pm EST
be interested to see how they characterize the economy, whether they are getting more comfortable with it now that we have the biggest piece of the fiscal cliff out of the way or whether they are still concerned that employment is sluggish an inflation is tracking kind of low. >> yeah. i mean, we have an economic that's improving but not necessarily gangbusters here to necessarily illustrate or justify this huge movement to stocks. ryan dietrich, what's your take on this in terms of technical strategy? what do the charts look like you to? >> we ton to see what's happened this year and see a lot of similars with last year. we rallied virtually 45 degrees until april and seeing a lot of thins. early in the year, a lot of bulls come in, stocks in mutual funds. doesn't mean the market has to peak. a lot of people are saying that. seasonality-wisebrua usually strong when you have a strong january and march and april, the two strongest months the last five years, up 3.5% on afternoon. all in all coupled with the pact that short interest currently on s&p 500 components is actually higher
CNBC
Jan 22, 2013 3:00pm EST
have right now is the economy is getting better. the equity markets have improved. standard & poor's 500 was up. the s&p 500 was up 13%, 14%, up 4% year to date. >> right. >> the economy is starting to show good signs. as long as we don't have it derailed in washington. >> i was just going to ask. >> i think things could get better. >> could washington still screw this up? >> absolutely. i don't think it takes much to have another debt ceiling debate and debacle would not be helpful here. i think there's so much minon the sidelines between the retail investor and the corporate america today, has so much money to invest. get rid of some of that uncertainty and this economy will go. i'm quite bullish about that. >> can you provide guidance for this year without knowing exactly what washington is going to come up with? >> we gave a range. we don't give guidance. we give a range on a conservative side and optimistic side. we're right inside that range. had a great start to the year. we're ahead of consensus. we her record asset gathering and record guidance sales and great control. had a
CNBC
Jan 23, 2013 6:00am EST
economy. take a listen to this one. >> i think jpmorgan was a -- was not just a fair weather friend. we were there in good times and bad times for everybody, including nations. for spain and italy we will tell you -- we were lending $15 billion net of collateral. net derivatives, spain and italy. yes, it's governments and multi- nationals if you want to be transparent. what would you do? what would you all do? if you were my board of directors, it's easy to say don't take the risk. move out. we've been in spain and italy, one for 60 years, wur finish over 100 -- one for over 100. we're not a fair weather friend. companies want us there. we have to manage that risk. something may go wrong. >> got to tell you guys, the feedback after that panel was actually not good. a lot of people criticizing jamie just in the hallways. obviously a lot of people happy to see him defending the bank. a lot of bankers here. the mood, nature of where we are. there was some criticism. the other big news, by the way, not happening in davos -- yeah? >> i was going to say quickly, that may be more a reflection
CNBC
Jan 25, 2013 7:00pm EST
reflects an economy that looks better than you might think. and then on the political front, president obama's recess appointment to the nlrb declared unconstitutional. and louisiana governor bobby jindal calls republicans the stupid party. how about that? and then there is an unconfirmed scandal. i say unconfirmed. did senator bob menendez sleep with underaged dominican prostitutes? this is "the kudlow report" and we begin right now. >> all right. first up, our most optimistic story tonight, stock continue their bull run, the s&p 500 and dow closing in on their all-time highs from october 2007. brian shactman joins us now with all the details. good evening, brian and good work today. >> you touched on the s&p details having its best streak in terms of winning streaks days in a row in eight years but how about the dow. we're now 105 points shy of 14,000. eight components hit new highs today. beyond the five on your screen, utx, pfizer and p & g also doing it. now, speaking of history, historically life is good, larry, as you well know when the dow transports show leadership, up another
CNBC
Jan 24, 2013 3:00pm EST
terms of the global economy. how do you see things? >> sure. why don't we start in europe. europe remains a challenging place. i think that the actions that mr. draghi took have technically been very strong. i think they have put a safety net under the market, but i think the challenge, is and it's one of the big topics here, is how do we get growth back into these economies. fundamentally that's what we need to do, and i don't think there's a clear path to that but it will take some time. >> been a tough couple of years. >> yes, it has. >> let's talk about citi, you're repositioning the firm. how are you planning on doing that and what's the vision going forward? >> our strategy, maria, is really focused around a few of the big secular things going on in the world. globalization, urbanization and digitization. if you think of globalization, thinking of what's going on in the economy, most of the growth is coming from the developing countries. you look at 2008 to 2012, 45% of world growth came from china. a trend we're going to continue to see the next couple of years. the growth
CNBC
Jan 28, 2013 7:00pm EST
economy, shrink government and create confidence that we are not greece. and, oh, heck, my friend steve kroft lobbed a bunch of softballs at president obama and hillary clinton in his "60 minutes" interview last night. and you know what, folks, we still do not know what happened on that tragic, awful night in benghazi when four people were killed. the administration spun two separate stories, we still don't know the narrative. all that, the "kudlow report" starts right now. >>> first up tonight, it could prove to be the most significant immigration reform in years. bipartisan group of four democratic and four republican senators unveiling their blueprint this afternoon for border security, guest worker cards, more foreign brainiacs and employer verification, maybe even a path to citizenship. cnbc's own eamon javers joins us now with the details. good evening, eamon. >> well, we've almost gotten out of practice at watching bipartisan groups of senators hold press conferences here in washington. that's not something we're used to seeing. in recent months, anyway. but the senators laid out
CNBC
Jan 28, 2013 12:00pm EST
economy, u.s. economy. during 2012, we saw something that doesn't happen outside of recessions. we saw business spending go flat, u.s. exports go flat. sectors like technology and industrials really sensitive to exports, especially business spending. i expect business spending to accelerate through 2013 drive ing growth with business is in tact. >> david, it's josh brown. for most of 2012 and 2012, the market was characterized by this risk off-risk on regime. it didn't matter what stocks you picked, a question when you were in the market and weren't. correlation collapsed and all of a sudden there's value in picking good stocks and bad stocks. do you think that's something we will see through the course of the year and if so, what's the best way to express that as portfolio manager? >> a good question. is complacency setting in but i don't think so given the valuation and earnings. i wouldn't focus on getting tactical calls right this year. i don't think we will have a big pull back in the market. i think people should get in the market, focus on stock picking, focus on stock picki
CNBC
Jan 24, 2013 7:00pm EST
the transports rising. what does that mean? to me that's bullish for the economy. >> if you look at some of the trucking names. normally take out the airlines. the airlines have done quite well if they reduced capacity although if you look at some of the reports i think it was u.s. air, but i believe they said that some of their seats were down a bit even though they cut capacity. that was a little bit of a warning sign. even on trucking side it was okay. but now as a trader and investing in the market you have to hook six months ahead. what will happen coming down. we know everything is done well. we know they are up 7%. what's the next move. that's where you get concern. >> we look at the leading indicators. pmi from china, europe, u.s. today the leading indicators in that sentiment indicator is telling us we're not done. we could bleed higher in terms of economic sentiment and economic activity and the new orders component the global pmi looks like it will print above 50 in january for the first time in eight months. >> i'm sure there's a stock market correction. >> when? >> the
CNBC
Jan 28, 2013 6:00am EST
going on into the future while we debate how to balance the budget, how to grow the economy. that's the kind of debate the country desevens. by the way, if we keep going down this path, we will have a debt crisis. it's not an if question, it's a when question. >> i remember him, alternativest young congressman from wisconsin that used to come on "squawk box." >> still fighting budget balthsds. >> if he's going to go on somewhere, at least he went on with david. congress must pass a stopgap spending bill by march 27th to keep the u.s. government running. and don't do that with your sneezes. >> what was that? i held it in. >> that's like -- >> i've been trying to hold it in because you were talking. >> no, no, it's going to come out. that's bad for you. something inside is going to pop or something. like an anneurism. it's bad to be repressed like that. let it out. >> that's his whole life. >> oh. >> let it out. >> michelle caruso ka brar ray. you're like a guest on the show, but thank you for being kind. >> it's the greatest feeling in the world. let it out. >> yeah, others have -- a
CNBC
Jan 25, 2013 6:00am EST
. we'll talk to gouldsby about jumging the economy. i don't know if he's good about -- >> he's been pretty spot on. >> but we're going to hear up some of the party line from him. i saw some of the stuff he says. we're going to find out why we're doing a little better and is whether it's going to continue. let's get the national forecast now. oh, my man is back, the weather channel's reynolds wolf. i told you that the last time. cold weather. >> that's right. >> climate change, snow climate change, no snow, climate change. any variability. and we know about weather over the years, over the millions and billions of years. we know that it never -- the median line is because of all this variability. so it goes like this and then we get to the middle. but now, anything that is not right on that middle average is now seen as, oh, something is happening. >> reynolds is going, what? >> no. he is with me. he knows exactly what i'm saying. every single thing is because of co2 emissions now, reynolds. >> i am just absorbing this. i am just absorbing this. no, we have to talk, man, seriously. a
CNBC
Jan 22, 2013 6:00am EST
their plans to meet the changing market economy and grow the business in a slow growth world economy. again, reflecting slow growth overall. i think they had strong numbers when it came to agency. some of those numbers up by 18%. volume was driven by agriculture with robust tales in latin america and a strong selling to the north american selling season along with increases in asia pacific for performance materials, electronics and communications and performance chemicals. >> the stock was higher a year and a half ago or so. but in terms of the last year, it's getting -- it's sort of the in the mid point of the trend. coming back, at least trying to get back to where it was earlier. all-time highs are at about 58. >> in corporate headlines, more developments in the boeing story. there are indications now that the dream liner could stay grounded longer than initially anticipated. investigators turning to the maker of the lithium ion batteries that are used in the planes. that is gsyausa. investigators visited the batterymaker yesterday. shares of boeing have started getting to the low
CNBC
Jan 25, 2013 12:00pm EST
the economy isn't falling apart. interest rates aren't going up. that's when things get interesting. >> let's open up to the traders. steve, the market does continue. this creep higher earnings news comes in but expectations had come down so much perhaps the bar was low enough for the companies to meet the expectations or exceed them in many cases. where do we go from here? >> i think that's a good point. expectations are what the market trades on. expectations were low enough where companies by and large had come out with beats. expectations on the global economy were weak. draghi came out with second half growth in europe this year. we had other good news in the economy. housing starts not as good. i bet we see a good jobs number next week on top of claims yesterday. claims continue to go much higher. >> what will happen as you get more gains. >> i like technology. we are seeing them come out and spend. they are hiring as well. that means more technology. you have to be careful. you can't go into the old tech names. play the qualcomms. i continue to like financials. i think that w
CNBC
Jan 29, 2013 6:00am EST
appreciatory under secretary. stanford say the says holding back the economy, the federal reserve is holding back the economy. >> steve liesman will be along at 7:30 eastern. i don't think he would buy into that. we will be here with the release of cnbc's exclusive fed survey. and from the better late than never file, the senate has approved the long delayed $50.5 billion aid package for the vikt manies of superstorm sandy. the approval comes three months after the storm ravaged the east coast destroying thousands of homes and is business in new york and connecticut and new jersey. nine republicans joined democrats in voting yes on the measure. now president obama must sign it into law, which he is expected to do. senate leaders held up the aid and for wrangling' over the new rules, filibusters and some pork in there and all kinds of stuff. andrew asked me today -- i love this. is it okay to wear a jacket? it's fine to wear a jacket when you want to because of -- he goes, look, this shirt needs a jacket. that begs the question, where do you wear a shirt that needs a jacket to cover i
CNBC
Jan 25, 2013 1:00pm EST
side one by one. and the economy is picking up. europe is looking better. you look at the european automobile manufacturers, bmws are up 35% last year. so i think everything is fine and i think that, you know, the old cliche is don't fight it and i think as the public realizes, and people realize the market is not going to come back. >> it's been great having you again. we appreciate your patience and we look forward to having you back soon. guys, leave us with a thought from each of you if you would. set us up for next week. we are at the point in the market we haven't been for five years. s&p 500 hanging out. industrial average point away from its all-time high. >> there is a lot to look forward to and you know a lot of it will be about what transpired on our network for the last 45 minutes. herbalife will be on everybody's lips even though that is not the economy. economy is doing better than we expected. we talked about german business confidence and so forth. but there certainly will be a new focus on herbalife, scott. and that's going to be my focus into next week. >> there's
CNBC
Jan 23, 2013 4:00pm EST
, the japanese and american economy. there is going to be hell to pay and it's going to happen soon. >> you're holding your news and buying. >> neil henessey, can we get back to all-time highs for the dow and the s&p. >> oh, michelle, i think easily. if you look at the dow jones right now, the price-to-sales ratio is 1.28. the most it will go up to is 1.5 so that leaves 17% on the upside or if hundred points. more importantly you look at the s&p 500 companies, they are sitting on 1.5 trillion in cash, 1.5 trillion -- >> hold on. you think 2,300 points in the dow? what are you talking about? >> very much so. >> i mean. you're talking about the high in 2007, michelle, was when the price-to-sales ratio of the dow jones was at 1.8. we're 40% away from that number, but, i mean, the companies are in great shape. there's so much cash sitting on the sidelines, and at some point in time the investors are going to get out of fix the income and move over towards equity. >> can i ask you a question and i'm very much concerned about this. what happens when the bond bubble bursts and those invest
CNBC
Jan 27, 2013 7:30pm EST
better, it might be worse. >> see, i'm hearing a lot of positives about the u.s. economy, if washington can get its act together, but europe is still a big issue. what do you think about europe right now? have we made progress? and what's to come? >> well, i think there's some big, long term things they need to do in europe over the next 5-7 years. they've done some structural forms. they've raised their pension ages. they've done labor market reforms. nothing has happened in the united states. absolutely nothing. and i think their reasons for optimism from the shale, which, by the way, that's an area where people are excited to talk about that. and, you know, there's some optimism coming from the easy money, i suppose, still. but i think in the united states, you know, if we get to the consensus, which seems to be 3% at the end of the year, i think that would be good. >> let me ask you about the economy. relative to what ee's going on washington. we voted that the house extended to see a debt ceili ining for a months. how does this play out? >> forever. i mean, that's the sh
CNBC
Jan 28, 2013 9:00am EST
top line growth is a reflection of perhaps a greater growth in the u.s. economy i think is still a question mark. >> down europe, up 10% china. okay. china, can be a source of top line growth. latin america could be a source of top line growth. >> and when asked about china, the words for sure, the idea that china is staging a rebound. >> and this is despite the fact that they have terrible fraud there. kind of overlooked it. when you're in that virtuous circle, it doesn't seem to matter what you say that's negative. people want to grasp the positive. it's a different kind of market from what we've had for multiple years. >> and to melissa's point about correlation, it's not that risk on, risk off, which we have dealt with for so long now. every hedge fund would come in, and say, europe's bad today, risk off. >> there are no more excuses for the fund managers who are underperforming the s&p 500. this year could be a good year, a different kind of year from the hedge funds that have done so poorly. >> they're going to have to do actual work. >> right. they will have to show performa
CNBC
Jan 23, 2013 3:00pm EST
at how the businesses and the economy is doing and juxtapose that against the politicians who aren't behaving very well, you have to be positive regarding the situation for the future stocks. >> so you like stocks more for the fundamentals than you do for any fed or congressional action right now. am i reading that right? >> absolutely, absolutely. i mean, for the third quarter of last year our stocks had earnings of over 6% which compares very favorable, and, you know, we're looking into the future and then we compare that to the general growth rates of the u.s. economy, and there's no question they are going to outperform so it has an impact. >> the imf lowered global growth numbers today, nobody seems to care because the money has to go some place and it's not going into the bond market. >> point well taken. in the past you talked about gold. >> was that long winded? >> we're about 15%, 20% in gold right now. listen, this is a stagflationry environment. going to get a lot worse. you have to own gold and oil. >> be globally diversified and multi-asset strategy. get engaged in secur
CNBC
Jan 21, 2013 4:00am EST
the u.s., in germany and to an extent in the uk. >> the trouble is for all of those economies maybe some of the european ones are under pressure by the government. but the problem is, if you look at issues in the u.s., they're just so low. there's no ability to cut in the long-term. how do you push through entitlement reform and address those issues, especially if there's no market pressure right now? >> my sense is that you don't. i don't understand how that can be achieved and, therefore, i suppose what i struggle with is what solution can the government find? the bank of japan, if you monetize the debt in a low inflationary environment, is this a free lunch? >> right. >> in the uk, it has turned out to be a free lunch. would it in japan? possibly, yes, and, therefore, i wonder if these issues ever will be addressed. >> and what's so interesting, you're seeing these bizarre rates happening in a monetary policy. we feel like we're in a whole new regime where people feel like it doesn't matter at all. wondering if it matters at all how much you spend and borrow in these situations.
CNBC
Jan 20, 2013 7:30pm EST
to be a decent year. i don't think the problem is the trajectory of the economy. i think the question is how much will these issues from washington, whether it's the debt ceiling, the sequester, the lingering uncertainty over the long-term budget picture, undermine confidence, lower the valuations of u.s. companies because people just have less confidence in the long-term trajectory. >> and jared, president obama starts his second term next week. his inauguration, of course, monday. what has he done right? the last four years, in your view? what could he have done better or has he done wrong? >> four years ago right around this time when i was a member of the administration's economics team, i was remembering the juxtaposition of great hope and expectations and the real horror of what was going on in macroeconomy. gdp contracting at 9%. i think the president came in and hit very hard and broke the back of the great recession a lot sooner than people expected. certainly the financial markets were reflated much more quickly and at less expense than people expected. pretty soon,
CNBC
Jan 24, 2013 4:00pm EST
. >> thanks so much, bill. we are talking economy and politics with representative eric cantor right now, and representative, great to have you on the program. >> great to be here with you. >> thank you so much for joining us. >> let's get right to t.yesterday or this week rather the house passed a debt limit extension until mid-may. what does that buy us? >> well, what is buys us is a time for this debate about borrowing and spending to really develop into what i hope will be a robust discussion that will yield some results. we know that for almost four years the united states senate has not passed a budget, and that's part of the problem that's been contributing to the out-of-control spending in washington, and what we've said is we will extend the debt ceiling for three months to allow time for the united states senate to write a budget so we can then begin the discussions on how we're going to repay this money that we're going to borrow as well as begin to manage down the debt long term. >> what's the realistic vision in terms of a budget? i mean, this senate will have its budget
CNBC
Jan 29, 2013 4:00am EST
spanish deficit target if the economy continues to contract. that's precisely what we are expecting because for the fourth quarter, we are expecting the spanish gdp to shrink by 0.4%. for the time being, spain has a deficit target of 4.5% for 2013. that seems to be really ambitious if not out of reach. because to meet this new target, the government would need to find $20 billion of additional euro cut. that won't help the spanish economy to go out of recession. for that reason, oli rehn thinks spain will need some incentive from stimulus measure toes improve its economy and boost its labor market. >> it has to be complemented with policies to help the unemployed find new work or training opportunities. it's important for our financial sector to give credit so they can invest and create jobs. and it will be important to maintain the fiscal consolidation. >> and the stimulus measures are indeed on the agenda. the prime minister will make an announcement on the 20th of february with a package to boost the economy and help small and medium tax breaks. we know after austerity comes the
CNBC
Jan 23, 2013 9:00am EST
the rails as an indicator of the economy, may be failing, because they are so coal-based. but union pacific reports tomorrow that is less coal-based and i think they blow it out. union pacific is a winner. >> interesting point. we'll get a lot more after the break. stick around. we'll see how mcdonald's opens for trading now that we've got their earnings comps. >>> speaking of restaurants, we'll talk to ron shaich about the state of his business and what's new at the chain. [ maleu turn an entrepreneur's dream... ♪ into a scooter that talks to the cloud? ♪ or turn 30-million artifacts... ♪ into a high-tech masterpiece? ♪ whatever your business challenge, dell has the technology and services to help you solve it. whatever your business challenge, i have obligations. cute tobligations, but obligations.g. i need to rethink the core of my portfolio. what i really need is sleep. introducing the ishares core, building blocks for the heart of your portfolio. find out why 9 out of 10 large professional investors choose ishares for their etfs. ishares by blackrock. call 1-800-ishares
CNBC
Jan 21, 2013 2:00pm EST
simon. even though fraud played a significant role in the 2008 meltdown of the american economy, as of late 2012, there have been several civil suits filed against major wall street financial firms, but not a single criminal prosecution. in this edition, we look back at the 2008 financial crisis and the failure of government regulators to prosecute those who might be criminally responsible. later, lehman brothers bankruptcy investigator anton valukas shares his findings on the collapse of the giant investment bank where no senior official has ever faced charges in the biggest bankruptcy in u.s. history. but first we begin with a nine-month 60 minutes investigation looking for wall street cases that might have prosecutorial merit. in december 2011, steve kroft reported on two such cases. we begin with a woman named eileen foster, a former senior executive at countrywide financial, one of the epicenters of the crisis. >> do you believe that there are people at countrywide who belong behind bars? >> yes. >> do you want to give me their names? >> no. >> would you give their names to a g
CNBC
Jan 21, 2013 11:00am EST
beginning of the end of the debt limit as potential crisis for the markets and the economy? >> i hope so. if what the republicans are talking about is let's have this debt ceiling skirmish every quarter, every three months, nobody is going to like that, especially the markets, and for very good reason. if what they're say something we're not going to play debt ceiling leverage anymore, which has obviously been the president's position, that's good. my feeling is it's probably the latter. i think there are enough kind of economic grown-ups in the room to really control the folks who have threatened to use that kind of leverage. >> but the senate has not had a budget resolution pass through the senate in, what is it, four years now? >> april, 2009. >> that feels to me pretty shameful frankly. i don't know the politics and i'm not exactly sure why that's the case, but isn't that a critical step in bridging the gap and making progress on these issues where you can not go to these sort of extra legal things like using the debt ceiling as leverage, but you can use the process as it is inten
CNBC
Jan 23, 2013 1:00pm EST
because it reduces a threat to the economy and of course good news to people working in the economy in the financial market. >> john harwood, thank you very much. to mary thompson now with breaking news. >> announcing charges against three alleged international cyber criminals. the three have been charged again in infiltrating computers around the world, about a million computers around the world, including 40 thousand here in the u.s. with a virus known as the gozi virus. the plot the cyber criminals wanted to actually access information including bank account information in an effort to steal money from those accounts. also, the virus infected the computers at nasa. again, the three alleged criminals have been taken into custody. one is a romanian citizen. one is a russian citizen. and one is lafian citizen. all spreading a computer virus. >> all right. the rally does continue right now with the dow jones industrial average up about 68 points. the dow and s&p hit fresh five-year highs. kenny is here with me to interpret what i trying to say down on the floor of the new york stock exc
CNBC
Jan 25, 2013 6:00pm EST
back, sixth largest economy in the world, and you guys are in the thick of it, right? with some areas that were very depressed that are now roaring. >> well, we are really encouraged by the turnaround in california. what we reported this morning is that in the fourth quarter or california house sales increased 80% in the quarter. that's been the slowest market to turn around. but as you know, a very big economic engine in this country. and so for us california means not just our own housing start, activity in our housing operation, but also that's the major market for our west coast saw mills and ultimately for the timberlands on the west coast. >> this morning i was on the "today" show and savannah guthrie, she's fabulous, she asked me, jim, all these companies are making a lot of money but are they doing any hiring? i said not that much. what i should have said is you guys in your transcript today make it very clear you are actually hiring people right now. >> well, we are. and most of the hiring in our company today is in our wood products manufacturing business. so we are putting
CNBC
Jan 29, 2013 2:00pm EST
whether d.c. has given up trying to grow the american economy. we will meet a man, mandy, who dares to upgrade one of the most beaten down companies in the land. >> i believe not so unhappy about it either. the dow, zeroing in on that 14,000 level. that is the level to watch. about 47 points away. we have not traded there since october 17th, 2007. now we're just 1.5% away from hitting that mark. really just a hop, skip, and a jump. s&p meantime has been the real sleeper here, guys, kind of creeping up on us 12 straight sessions, including today, single digit moves. the longest in two years. the nasdaq meantime is having a bit more of a struggle today. the number of techs wrecked. we'll bring you more on that in a second. meantime, down to bob pisani on the floor of nyse. is 14,000 a psychological marker or is there anything more to this. bob? >> yes, it's a psychological marker. when you've got the public talking about the stock market again, thank heavens, for the first time in years, psychological marks become important. they can produce interest in buying. we're close. not just 1
CNBC
Jan 22, 2013 9:00am EST
cautious year with the slow growth world economy. how worrisome are those comments from the economic bellwether. >> j & j exceeds estimates. the full year forecast a bit below the streets, as investors pay close attention to new ceo alex gorsky. >>> the dow component reporting fourth quarter numbers of 38 cents. that was well below estimates. verizon said the results were impacted by superstorm sandy. we're just getting details now, david, on activations on things like the iphone, 6.2 million, not too shabby. >> the problem was not necessarily activations, carl. the key is simply that margins came in even worse than had been anticipated. this, after the company already guided them down a bit at the consumer electronics show a couple of weeks back. and there, of course, you're talking about operating koose i higher than anticipated. investors may be a little concerned today when you take a look at that chart there. now, listen, to carl's point, they're adding a lot of customers. they're activating a lot of devices. we talk often about the subsidy for the apple iphone, but don't forget
CNBC
Jan 28, 2013 1:00pm EST
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CNBC
Jan 24, 2013 12:00pm EST
had in an improving global economy. you can very well be at the trough in terms of s&p growth. you're going to move a lot higher. >> well, you know, maybe we are looking at different data. at least through friday the beat ratio and the s&p 500 was just 59% versus a long-term average of 65%. and frankly, if you're looking at cash ratios, these were arguments we used in 2007 as well. cash is a share of assets consistently driven to higher and higher levels for the last 15 years. i'm not sure that's a bullish point for the short-term. i think instead you want to focus on the earnings stream and whether or not these companies can beat expectations going forward. >> what were you looking for in terms of the beat ratio or maybe it was the misratio coming to this quarter so far. in 16 and 65, that's basically, you know, insignificant as far as i'm concerned. what were you looking for? >> the long-term average is 65%. at least over the cycle. so companies tend to always beat earnings estimates. even going down to a 60% level is below average. i would like to see something above 65%. >> gina,
CNBC
Jan 28, 2013 11:00pm EST
this week. we have to believe that the fed sees the same strength in the economy that you and i do, starting to fret about all that easy money. interest rates are going higher, ten-year treasury trading to 2% today. we don't know if that's going to defeat the fed's efforts to keep rates low, or is it just fine? because at a certain point, the economy does catch fire, and then we don't need the fed support. think about this, i just got a 2.75% mortgage last friday. how long can that last? i think i caught the bottom. finally, while the earnings have been good, we still keep hearing lots of chatter about how the top line is not so at the top line, the top line, the top line. it's starting to annoy me. all i can say is i've ignored this kind of illogic and bogus thinking for ages. i'm not going to be trapped by it. instead, i'm thinking about when that top line does come back, when the sales do roar, after all the shares that have bought back, it's going to produce profits like you wouldn't believe because of how lean our companies have become. they fired a lot of people during the ba
CNBC
Jan 24, 2013 1:00pm EST
improving economy maybe do work miracles. quote, california did the impossible, says governor brown. who claims the golden state will only clear the deficit but will have a billion dollar surplus a year later. last month the day took in a single day record for personal income taxes. $2.2 billion on one day. mostly from those who play quarterly. however this could be front loading as people declared income and took capital gains ahead of higher federal coxs. even so the budget holds items but increased education spenting. >> fiscal discipline is not the enemy of our good intentions but the basis for realizing them. it is cruel to lead people on by expanding good programs only to cut them back when the funding disappears. this is not progress. it is not even fro greprogressi. it is an illusion. boom and bust serves no one. we're not going back there. >> however, the governor hasn't said how he will pay for medicare expansion under obama care. he has proposed pushing that cost on to counties. >> i'm sure that would be unpopular with some counties. but nonetheless. jane, thank you very
CNBC
Jan 24, 2013 5:00pm EST
global economy. listen. >> and the momentum we have built coming into q-2 ideally positions us to kick our growth plans into high gear and to deliver increased profits to our shareholders in 2013 and beyond. >> now, the company says it has seen strong sales of verismo machines. 150,000 have been sold since the launch last fall. at a cost of 200 or $400 each. he just said on the call this will be a multibillion dollar single serve platform for the company. while you heard stories of people during superstorm sandy going to starbucks to use the free wifi, they apparently were not buying coffee. the company cited the storm as one reason margins in the americas contracted in the quarter. overall margins increased 16.6%. we still haven't heard on the call what they mentioned in the report about the unexpected cost pressures. we'll see if that comes up later. >> we'll check in with you later. keith mccullough, do you like starbucks. when howard schultz talks about the verismo becoming a platform for single cup brewing -- >> that's part of the longer growth story. this deserves to be expensive
CNBC
Jan 22, 2013 6:00pm EST
us economy respond? she goes onto say the definite needs to be dealt with in a matter of months. back to stephanie again. she tells me that all anyone is doing is focused on the numbers in lat tip america. so a stock that has been sinking goes flying up. it ends up being one of the best performing stocking. again, a huge move for this one. believe me, if these were isolated examples i would be fine with them. but there are so many like this, you can see why all of this trading is fraught with calamity and chances for you to lose money with every twist and turn. i sure liked the look of ibm and google earnings and i liked the way the stocks traded after the close. until i hear the conference call myself, i am not going to pronounce them as terrific. i'm goi ining to say come on ji. >> how can you blame me for not wanting to pull these quarters apart myself? do the analysis myself? my charitiable trust, it is not idle chatter when i say these are the worst times of the year to try and make money. even if the data points are meaningless or wrong. please, stop, look, listen before you tak
CNBC
Jan 25, 2013 9:00am EST
sign about optimism about the global economy, in large part because one strategist told me it appears japan, or the yen is a reserve currency, the attractiveness there is starting to diminish as people become more optimistic about risk asset. great horizons a great child care company based in watertown, massachusetts. the company was priced at $22 a share. but right now the indication is $25 to $27. 10.1 million shares being very well received by the investment community today. a couple of the stocks we'll be watching today. the earnings parade continues. halliburton opening at a 52-week high after it came in with earnings of 63 cents a share. its international operations helping to offset the weakness in the north american operations. the company also actually said weakness in north america could continue this year -- continue through 2013. but obviously investors like the news on the results. hasbro had a weak fourth quarter. the earnings revenue came in below expectations. the company plans to cut 10% of the work force as a result of the disappointing earnings. there you ca
CNBC
Jan 22, 2013 4:00pm EST
indication of the strength of the global economy. yes, obviously, the fed is juicing this real, but cash on balance sheets is at record highs. unemployment seems to be stabilizing, and have you nowhere else to go, if you go to cash, what are you making, nothing? >> nothing. >> go to bonds, nothing. >> might as well put it in the mattress. >> exactly. >> watching google there. waiting for those numbers. not out yet. estimates coming down. rich peterson what, role does technology play in this market right now? how important are they? >> it's always the audio. >> in terms of the s&p capital estimates, looking for a 1.4% decline and earnings in the fourth quarter. however, you look at the low point for the earnings decline for the sector we're seeing upturned in the first quarter, second quarter 2013. however, i think, you know, we had a big rise with many m & a deals last year in the sector. investors should not be ignoring the risk out there. so far the s&p 500, so many headwinds out there in terms of what the fed may be raising rates some time. >> okay. so you see technology earnings bottomi
CNBC
Jan 22, 2013 5:00pm EST
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CNBC
Jan 20, 2013 11:00pm EST
market on earth. more money too: $4 billion a year. in today's global economy, fishermen from around the world watch the prices set here at tsukiji, which enables them to figure out what their catch is worth. harvard anthropology professor ted bestor understands the movement of money and tuna. >> this place is the nerve center of a global fishing industry. >> it's sort of like a wall street of fish. >> yeah, yeah, it is. it is. there's no futures market, no derivatives, but other than that, it's like the wall street of fish. >> my heavens. >> all bluefin tuna, all fresh, and all expensive. >> at 4:00 every morning, six days a week, the buyers arrive at the market's fresh tuna hall to check out what's on offer. how do the buyers know what's good and what's not so good? >> well, if you look over, you can see them rolling the tuna over on their side, looking in the belly. they're looking for the fat content. they're looking for the color of the meat. essentially, they're x-raying the fish. and then you'll see that they'll take a little piece and they'll rub it between their thumb and forefi
CNBC
Jan 27, 2013 11:00pm EST
getting behind as an economy and as a workforce because we're just all playing computer games at work while we wait to grow up? >> for all the complaining, dorsey and healy believe their generation will transform the office into a much more efficient, flexible, and, yes, nicer place to be. >> thank you. have a good one. >> but until then, a message to bosses everywhere: just don't forget the praise. >> we want to hear it, and truly we'd love for our parents to know. there's nothing better than mom getting that letter saying, you know, "ryan did a great job. yeah, i just wanted to let you know you raised a fantastic son." >> send it to grandma too. [laughter] >> since our report first aired, the great recession has significantly impacted the labor market for millennials. at the end of 2010, the unemployment rate in the u.s. for eligible workers under 30 was at its highest level in 60 years. but it's been widely reported that for many millennials, that sobering statistic only confirms their notion that the business-as-usual ethic doesn't work. and despite high unemployment levels in 201
CNBC
Jan 29, 2013 12:00pm EST
of what happens if ultimately the fed withdraws liquidity and rates back up. if the economy were to go back into recession many high yield bonds especially the lower rated ones might have a hard time paying the interest because obviously business would be soft. you have to be careful about the risk that you're taking for that nominal yield of 5 to 5.5%. >> scott, can the market continue to dismiss the under performance of the technology space when you listen to some of the earnings whether intel or last night with vm where clearly the enterprise space is pulling back on spending. the last couple years, where it was favorable, hey, technology is good. they're rebuilding inventories. that story was listened to. now it seems we're not listening to the technology story. can it continue? >> i think the market can go up. we realized apple one time last year was 22% weighting in the s&p tech index. if you back out the excess cash in apple it's selling at about a 6.5 p.e. intel is flawed. it is a good company. i wouldn't own it. but there are good companies. i use qualcomm. a legitimate 20%
CNBC
Jan 21, 2013 3:00pm EST
work for more than a year. it's been hard on them and the economy, but we found an experiment in retraining... [paper tears] >> the resume, very soon, will become an obsolete tool in the job-search process. >> that may just offer a way back. you just got a new job. >> yes, i did. brings a smile to my face. >> i see that. >> welcome to 60 minutes on cnbc. i'm bob simon. in this edition, we look at two innovative experiments in the housing and job markets aimed at solving long-term problems caused by the great recession. and later on, we examine the impact on brevard county, florida, of scuttling the space shuttle program. we begin with the housing industry. chances are the home you're in isn't worth what it used to be. you may not have indulged in the real estate bubble with its liars' loans and wall street greed, but you were stuck with the bill. and if you thought your home value couldn't drop any more, have a look up and down the block. you might say, "there goes the neighborhood." one of the threats from the great recession was the sudden surge in the number of abandoned house
CNBC
Jan 28, 2013 2:00pm EST
productivity to the economy, spending their paychecks. amazing we are back to this level. >> and it is interesting to think about in september 2007, that is when hiring started to slow in that month. that was basically when we were hitting the highs on october 9 is when the september data came out. that month we only added 110,000 jobs that started to taper from there. that's why people are so concerned that was a top. on squawk box this morning, seeing 2800 for the s&p and 18 to 20,000 for the dow within four years. everyone thinks this is the beginning of a long-term upswing because of those fundamentals. >> some of the leaders back then are some laggers. there is a completely different story between what they were leading back then and now. >> at the time in '07, home depot was in the process after multibillion dollar deal to spin offity supply unit. that hit a snag with the credit crisis. that stock got hammered, the tale of two trajectories. now home depot is one of the winners. caterpillar up 34% in ten months leading up to that rally. it is actually down 10%. >> well talk more a
CNBC
Jan 22, 2013 11:00pm EST
a cautious year. the question is how will the u.s. economy respond. now i'm like you are about to lower the boom on 2013, how could you do that. she goes on to say we've taken good steps around the debts but the deficit has to be dealt with and it needs to be dealt with in a matter of months. oh golly. down goes dupont in pre-market trading. within a few minutes she tells me that all anyone is focused on is the country is doing pretty darned good especially in latin america. with that commodity in question, a stock that had been sinking now reverses and ends up flying up as it should have won the earnings were first reported. one of the best performing stocks in the dow. again, a huge move for this one. believe me, if these were just isolated examples i would be fine with them, but they are par for the course and there are so many better like this, you can see what i regard all this trading off the headlines, without people really looking, to be fraught with calamity and chances for you to lose money with almost every twist and turn. i sure liked the look of ibm and google earning
CNBC
Jan 28, 2013 3:00pm EST
not as much. and of course the anxiety of potentially healthy global economy is always going to give traders an excuse to try to sell what is close to some historically low levels of yield, high levels of price. >> yeah. and when you look at equities you see this huge move in the markets. are we taking a bit of a breather? jordan, how do you see it? >> i think it's been constrained. uncertain election and fiscal cliff. and all of a sudden people are starting to pay attention to the fact there are -- inflation's low. i think the market starts to run, forest run. >> not a lot of alternatives out there. right? >> even the high paying growth stocks are paying more to bonds. and the allocation hasn't happened yet. but beware. i think that could happen. >> john, what gets people to make the great exodus out of treasuries and into equities? if you're looking to the catalyst of what can take it to the next level, that would certainly be one of them. >> yeah. i think we have to see a lot higher level of inflation which we haven't seen thus far. you have corporate yields, dividend yields over
CNBC
Jan 23, 2013 12:00am EST
promises to be a serious recession is beginning to affect the economy there, and fiat and other european carmakers are struggling. but it should not affect the future of chrysler. do you think they're out of the woods? >> i think the question of whether chrysler will survive or not is largely behind us. i think the question at this point is how big a market share can they have? how good can their products be? >> there are plenty of new products in the pipeline. but marchionne, who is right now obsessed with quality, is taking nothing for granted. what's the biggest challenge facing chrysler right now? >> that we're gonna slip on execution. we're gonna get something wrong, big. >> like what? >> we're gonna screw up on a car. it won't sell. it's possible. >> can you afford that? >> one car, yes. now i can afford a car. 12 months ago, it would have been a--it would have been a disaster. but now i can take the pain. not-- one--one car. >> since our story first aired, chrysler's comeback has continued. in september 2012, the company announced that its sales had increased 11.5% from the same p
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